It appears that New Brunswick Premier Bernard Lord was able to escape a potential election campaign this week thanks to some political savvy and a booming economy.
The move to put defector Tanker Malley in the Speakers Chair gave the ex-pat from Miramichi the "power" he so desperately wanted. The smile that filled his face after being appointed speaker showed that recognition and a big chair are enough to please those with simple needs.
The good news budget filled with new money and tax cuts is thanks to a booming Canadian economy, a great New Brunswick business sector and some sound leadership in our New Brunswick boardrooms.
So the Lord government may escape to fight another day - but should they run?
In my opinion, the Liberals under Shawn Graham have overplayed their current lead in the polls and may have underestimated the ability for Lord to save his premiership. While the Liberals enjoy a 15 point lead and victories in the last 2 byelections, New Brunswickers, like all Canadians, are not overly keen on going to the polls anytime soon.
As well, despite an overwhelming desire and committment, Shawn Graham has yet to convince everyone he has the ability to be a Premier.
The Liberals, who continued to talk about defeating the government now have to continue to push the issue. The problem is they may lose either way. If they can't force the government into an early election they look weak. If they do force an election they risk alienating the electorate and facing trouble at the polls.
The Conservatives have played it smart, and may see a boost in popular opinion- so much so they may wish they had not averted the election to a time when New Brunswickers may forget all the good news.
Then again, maybe that's been the plan all along and an election will be called if the polling shows enough of a boost to hit the campaign trail. Then they can blame the Liberals for forcing the campaign.
The Strategy in politics is a tricky affair. No wonder so many potential leaders run the other way!
